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All Topics | Topic "Two New Publications"
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Author Message
Jack Sieber

Subject: Two New Publications   
Posted: 3/10/2008 Viewed: 22866 times
Two New Publications Jack Sieber jsieber <a href="mailto:jack.sieber@sei-us.org">jack.sieber@sei-us.org</a>
I just posted two new publications on the WEAP website
(http://www.weap21.org/index.asp?doc=16) that describe some innovative
research by the RAND Corporation that used WEAP to help them model
uncertainty due to climate change, and the implications for water
management.


Presenting Uncertainty About Climate Change to Water-Resource Managers
A Summary of Workshops with the Inland Empire Utilities Agency

By: David G. Groves, Debra Knopman, Robert J. Lempert, Sandra H. Berry,
Lynne Wainfan

Water-resource managers have long strived to meet their goals of system
reliability and environmental protection in the face of many
uncertainties, including demographic and economic forecasts, intrinsic
weather variability, and short-term climate change induced by El Niño
and other naturally occurring cycles. Now water managers also face a new
uncertainty - the potential for longer-term and more persistent climate
change, which, in coming years, may significantly affect the
availability of supply and patterns of water demand. Information about
the future effects of climate change is deeply uncertain and likely to
remain so for the foreseeable future. Thus, the scientific community is
debating how to most usefully characterize this important yet uncertain
information for decision makers. As part of a multiyear study on
climate-change decision-making under uncertainty, RAND researchers are
working with water agencies in California to help them better understand
how climate change might affect their systems and what actions, if any,
they need to take to address this challenge. This report documents the
methods and observations used to preserve an archive of the workshop
process and provide a basis for refining the approach for future
applications.

http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/2008/RAND_TR505.pdf



Preparing for an Uncertain Future Climate in the Inland Empire
Identifying Robust Water-Management Strategies

By: David G. Groves, Robert J. Lempert, Debra Knopman, Sandra H. Berry

Water managers face significant uncertainties about future
water-management conditions, including precipitation and temperature
patterns that may be changing in response to global climate change. As
part of a multiyear study on climate-change decision-making under
uncertainty, RAND researchers are working with water agencies in
California to help them better understand how climate change might
affect their systems and what actions, if any, they should take to
address this challenge. This briefing augments a recent RAND report,
Presenting Uncertainty About Climate Change to Water-Resource Managers:
A Summary of Workshops with the Inland Empire Utilities Agency, and
describes the last of four workshops held with the Inland Empire
Utilities Agency in Southern California. In this briefing, the RAND team
presents an analysis, based on robust decision-making methods, of how
different adaptive water-management strategies may reduce the
vulnerability of the region to climate change and other planning
uncertainties.

http://www.rand.org/pubs/documented_briefings/2008/RAND_DB550.pdf



Topic "Two New Publications"